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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2025-03-28T15:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2025-03-28T15:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/38071/-1
CME Note: This event is visible to the east/northeast in SOHO LASCO C2 and STEREO A COR2 imagery. This CME is still developing and only early imagery is available as a result. The source is related to an eruption and X1.1 flare from Active Region 14046 starting around 2025-03-28T15:00Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. A subsequent wide opening of field lines can be observed in SDO AIA 171 and 193 imagery at this time as well.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-03-31T10:16Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-03-30T21:27Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 50.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.75 - 5.75
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 32.72 hour(s)
Difference: 12.82 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-03-30T01:33Z
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